At 4:38 on a Thursday morning, the Black Homeowner opened his eyes before the alarm.
He did not move.
Outside his bedroom window, wind pressed gently through the trees.
The storm had not arrived yet.
According to the forecast, the first serious rain would reach the neighborhood sometime after seven.
Three hours.

Plenty of time.
That was exactly what worried him.
He reached toward the nightstand without turning on the lamp.
His phone screen illuminated his face.
No calls.
No messages.
Then a silent security alert appeared.
REAR PATIO MOTION DETECTED.
He stared at it.
For several seconds, he heard nothing except the air-conditioning system humming through the house.
Then another alert.
SIDE YARD MOTION DETECTED.
He sat up.
Beside him, the other side of the bed was empty.
His family was not home.
That had been deliberate.
They were staying with relatives two counties away.
The HOA President did not know that.
At least, she was not supposed to.
The Homeowner swung his feet onto the floor.
Dark-gray pajama pants.
Matching long-sleeved sleep shirt.
House slippers near the bed.
He pulled them on.
Then he looked once at the folded robe hanging over the chair.
Did not take it.
He wanted his appearance to communicate one thing.
He had just woken up.
Nothing more.
His phone vibrated again.
This time the notification did not come from his home system.
It came through an encrypted app.
One line.
Movement confirmed. Stay inside until visual verification.
The Homeowner typed nothing.
He did not need to.
He walked quietly down the hallway.
The house remained dark.
At the end of the corridor, he stopped near the kitchen.
Through the narrow pane beside the rear door, he could see only a portion of the backyard.
Fence.
Patio.
Dark lawn.
Then movement.
A figure.
White.
The Homeowner’s jaw tightened.
The HOA President wore a thick white padded coat despite the mild temperature.
Her blonde hair was tucked behind her ears.
Dark pants.
Expensive outdoor boots.
Work gloves.
She moved quickly but not confidently.
This was not the graceful movement of somebody accustomed to sneaking into houses.
She paused beside the rear patio.
Checked the windows.
Then slipped through the rear door she apparently believed had been left unsecured.
The Homeowner watched silently from the interior hallway.
She had entered exactly where investigators expected.
For the last three weeks, the rear-door latch had been configured to record unauthorized entry.
Not to trap anyone.
Not to prevent exit.
Simply to document who opened it.
The Homeowner stepped backward into darkness before she could see him.
The HOA President crossed the mudroom.
Stopped.
Listened.
Then walked toward the utility side of the house.
She knew where she was going.
That mattered.
Most neighbors would not.
Most residents had no reason to understand how the property’s roof runoff, downspouts, underground drainage, and storm-water outlet connected along the side yard.
The HOA President had studied it.
Or somebody had studied it for her.
The Homeowner waited until she exited through the utility door.
Then he followed at a distance.
Outside, wind moved harder now.
Clouds covered the sky.
A faint line of lightning flickered far beyond the subdivision.